Necaxa (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)

06 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Necaxa (W)

Atletico San Luis (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.3% DRAW 13.6% AWAY 78.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 8.3% 11.20 DRAW 14.3% 6.50 AWAY 77.4% 1.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Atletico San Luis (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Necaxa (W) Atletico San Luis (W)

Shots 9.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 16.3 · On target 9.8

Recent attacking output favours Atletico San Luis (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Necaxa (W) Atletico San Luis (W)

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Necaxa (W) Atletico San Luis (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Atletico San Luis (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Necaxa (W) ↓ -1.00 (-8.2%)

Atletico San Luis (W) ↑ +0.02 (+1.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.