Unam Pumas (W) vs Club America (W)

05 Sep 2026 · 05:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Unam Pumas (W)

Club America (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.0% DRAW 14.7% AWAY 73.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 11.8% 7.93 DRAW 15.6% 6.00 AWAY 72.6% 1.29

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Club America (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Unam Pumas (W) Club America (W)

Shots 18.3 · On target 9.3 Shots 18.5 · On target 11.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Unam Pumas (W) Club America (W)

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Club America (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Unam Pumas (W) Club America (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Club America (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Unam Pumas (W) ↓ -3.57 (-31.0%)

Club America (W) ↑ +0.11 (+9.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.