TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II vs SC Fortuna Köln

13 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II

SC Fortuna Köln

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.2% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 27.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.4% 2.10 DRAW 26.1% 3.66 AWAY 28.5% 3.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II SC Fortuna Köln

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II SC Fortuna Köln

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II SC Fortuna Köln

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II ↓ -0.10 (-4.5%)

SC Fortuna Köln ↑ +0.18 (+5.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.