SC Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Dusseldorf

06 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

SC Fortuna Köln

Fortuna Dusseldorf

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.2% DRAW 28.6% AWAY 40.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.6% 3.04 DRAW 28.6% 3.35 AWAY 39.8% 2.41

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Fortuna Dusseldorf

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

SC Fortuna Köln Fortuna Dusseldorf

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SC Fortuna Köln Fortuna Dusseldorf

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SC Fortuna Köln Fortuna Dusseldorf

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

SC Fortuna Köln ↑ +0.02 (+0.7%)

Fortuna Dusseldorf ↑ +0.21 (+9.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.