Vitoria Setubal vs Juventude de Evora

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Vitoria Setubal

Juventude de Evora

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 29.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.7% 2.30 DRAW 29.5% 3.25 AWAY 28.8% 3.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Juventude de Evora

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vitoria Setubal Juventude de Evora

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 14.5 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Juventude de Evora, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vitoria Setubal Juventude de Evora

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Vitoria Setubal has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vitoria Setubal Juventude de Evora

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Vitoria Setubal ↓ -0.10 (-4.2%)

Juventude de Evora ↑ +0.68 (+25.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.