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Brazil Campeonato Carioca B · BR

Artsul Futebol Clube vs Sao Cristovao RJ

24 Oct 2026 · 20:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Artsul Futebol Clube. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have often remained competitive without securing many victories. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Finding the net has been a recurring difficulty. The exchange of attempts has been broadly balanced, although a greater share of attempts has reached the target in the more recent matches.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.95 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.10. At this price, a home win for Artsul Futebol Clube does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Artsul Futebol Clube
STOCHASTICBET 47.6%
PINNACLE 46.1% odd 1.95
DIFFERENCE +1.5 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 30.7%
PINNACLE 31.0% odd 2.90
DIFFERENCE -0.3 pp
AWAY
Sao Cristovao RJ
STOCHASTICBET 21.7%
PINNACLE 22.9% odd 3.93
DIFFERENCE -1.2 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 24 Oct 2026 · 19:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Artsul Futebol Clube

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Artsul Futebol Clube Sao Cristovao RJ
Shots 12.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Artsul Futebol Clube, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Artsul Futebol Clube Sao Cristovao RJ
Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Sao Cristovao RJ has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Artsul Futebol Clube Sao Cristovao RJ

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Brazil Campeonato Carioca B · 48 matches with scores · 44 with shots · coverage 91.7%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Artsul Futebol Clube6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LDDLDD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Sao Cristovao RJ6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DLDLWL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Artsul Futebol ClubeHome team
+3.814.2 actual
Sao Cristovao RJAway team
−0.59.8 actual
Artsul Futebol Clube: 14.2 · league average 10.4 · 6 valid matchesSao Cristovao RJ: 9.8 · league average 10.4 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Artsul Futebol ClubeHome team
−1.58.8 actual
Sao Cristovao RJAway team
−0.79.7 actual
Artsul Futebol Clube: 8.8 · league average 10.4 · 6 valid matchesSao Cristovao RJ: 9.7 · league average 10.4 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Artsul Futebol ClubeHome team
+0.44.3 actual
Sao Cristovao RJAway team
−1.12.8 actual
Artsul Futebol Clube: 4.3 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matchesSao Cristovao RJ: 2.8 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Artsul Futebol ClubeHome team
−0.63.3 actual
Sao Cristovao RJAway team
−1.42.5 actual
Artsul Futebol Clube: 3.3 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matchesSao Cristovao RJ: 2.5 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Artsul Futebol ClubeHome team
−0.081.00 actual
Sao Cristovao RJAway team
−0.750.33 actual
Artsul Futebol Clube: 1.00 · league average 1.08 · 6 valid matchesSao Cristovao RJ: 0.33 · league average 1.08 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Artsul Futebol ClubeHome team
−3.1 pp7.1% actual
Sao Cristovao RJAway team
−6.8 pp3.4% actual
Artsul Futebol Clube: 7.1% · league average 10.2% · 6 valid matchesSao Cristovao RJ: 3.4% · league average 10.2% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Artsul Futebol ClubeHome team
+4.9 pp15.1% actual
Sao Cristovao RJAway team
−3.3 pp6.9% actual
Artsul Futebol Clube: 15.1% · league average 10.2% · 6 valid matchesSao Cristovao RJ: 6.9% · league average 10.2% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Artsul Futebol Clube · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
21/10/2026Away1–222 / 76 / 4
16/10/2026Home1–110 / 145 / 3
09/10/2026Away1–16 / 102 / 2
03/10/2026Home3–410 / 106 / 7
26/09/2026Away0–018 / 65 / 1
19/09/2026Home0–019 / 62 / 3
Sao Cristovao RJ · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
21/10/2026Home0–012 / 94 / 1
17/10/2026Away0–110 / 94 / 4
10/10/2026Home1–13 / 112 / 3
03/10/2026Away0–15 / 103 / 3
25/09/2026Away1–015 / 132 / 2
19/09/2026Home0–114 / 62 / 2

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.