Macae Esporte FC vs Artsul Futebol Clube

26 Sep 2026 · 23:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.1 pp

Macae Esporte FC

Artsul Futebol Clube

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.7% DRAW 29.8% AWAY 42.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.7% 3.02 DRAW 29.9% 3.10 AWAY 39.4% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Artsul Futebol Clube relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.5% win probability, compared with 39.4% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Artsul Futebol Clube

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Macae Esporte FC Artsul Futebol Clube

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 8.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Macae Esporte FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Macae Esporte FC Artsul Futebol Clube

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.5

Artsul Futebol Clube has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Macae Esporte FC Artsul Futebol Clube

The combined recent performance profile favours Artsul Futebol Clube.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Macae Esporte FC ↑ +0.22 (+7.7%)

Artsul Futebol Clube = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.