Carapebus/Campos vs Sao Cristovao RJ

25 Sep 2026 · 19:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Carapebus/Campos

Sao Cristovao RJ

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.6% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 62.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 12.9% 7.50 DRAW 24.4% 3.96 AWAY 62.8% 1.54

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Sao Cristovao RJ has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Carapebus/Campos Sao Cristovao RJ

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Sao Cristovao RJ, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Carapebus/Campos Sao Cristovao RJ

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Sao Cristovao RJ has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Carapebus/Campos Sao Cristovao RJ

The combined recent performance profile favours Sao Cristovao RJ.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Carapebus/Campos = (0.0%)

Sao Cristovao RJ ↑ +0.06 (+3.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.