Al Mesaimeer SC vs Al Kharaitiyat SC

08 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.5 pp

Al Mesaimeer SC

Al Kharaitiyat SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.1% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 49.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.6% 4.02 DRAW 25.2% 3.60 AWAY 52.2% 1.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al Mesaimeer SC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 25.1% win probability, compared with 22.6% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Mesaimeer SC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Mesaimeer SC Al Kharaitiyat SC

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Al Mesaimeer SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Mesaimeer SC Al Kharaitiyat SC

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Al Kharaitiyat SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Mesaimeer SC Al Kharaitiyat SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Mesaimeer SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Al Mesaimeer SC ↑ +1.02 (+33.8%)

Al Kharaitiyat SC ↓ -0.31 (-15.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.