Al Wehda Mecca vs Al Okhdood

14 Sep 2026 · 18:05

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Al Wehda Mecca

Al Okhdood

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.0% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 24.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.3% 2.20 DRAW 28.7% 3.40 AWAY 27.0% 3.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al Wehda Mecca relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.0% win probability, compared with 44.3% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Wehda Mecca

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Wehda Mecca Al Okhdood

Shots 12.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Al Wehda Mecca, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Wehda Mecca Al Okhdood

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Wehda Mecca Al Okhdood

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Wehda Mecca.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Al Wehda Mecca = (0.0%)

Al Okhdood ↑ +0.75 (+25.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.