Al Wehda Mecca vs Damac FC

02 Sep 2026 · 18:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT HOME +4.6 pp

Al Wehda Mecca

Damac FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.0% DRAW 21.3% AWAY 29.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% 2.00 DRAW 24.7% 3.60 AWAY 30.9% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Al Wehda Mecca significantly higher than the market does.

Our model estimates a 49.0% win probability, compared with 44.4% implied by the market. This 4.6 percentage-point gap, supported by 394 historically comparable matches, highlights a significant divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Wehda Mecca

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Wehda Mecca Damac FC

Shots 16.8 · On target 7.5 Shots 6.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Al Wehda Mecca, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Wehda Mecca Damac FC

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Wehda Mecca Damac FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Wehda Mecca.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Al Wehda Mecca ↓ -0.02 (-0.9%)

Damac FC ↑ +0.69 (+27.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.