Al Adalh vs Al Jandal

15 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Al Adalh

Al Jandal

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.5% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 26.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.0% 2.05 DRAW 28.5% 3.30 AWAY 25.5% 3.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Al Jandal

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Adalh Al Jandal

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Adalh Al Jandal

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Al Jandal has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Adalh Al Jandal

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Al Adalh ↓ -0.21 (-9.3%)

Al Jandal ↑ +0.66 (+21.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.