Damac FC vs Al-Ula

08 Sep 2026 · 17:50

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Damac FC

Al-Ula

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.2% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 58.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 16.9% 5.75 DRAW 24.3% 4.00 AWAY 58.8% 1.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al-Ula

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Damac FC Al-Ula

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Al-Ula, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Damac FC Al-Ula

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Damac FC Al-Ula

The combined recent performance profile favours Al-Ula.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Damac FC ↓ -0.75 (-11.5%)

Al-Ula ↑ +0.32 (+24.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.