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Saudi Arabia Division 1 · SA

Al Taee vs Al Zulfi

13 Sep 2026 · 19:20
CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.3 pp
Al Taee
Al Zulfi
HOME 31.5% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 42.4%
HOME 35.2% 2.70 DRAW 26.7% 3.55 AWAY 38.1% 2.49

StochasticBet rates Al Zulfi clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.4% win probability, compared with 38.1% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Al Zulfi

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Al Taee Al Zulfi
Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 11.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Al Taee Al Zulfi
Shots allowed 18.8 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Al Zulfi has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Al Taee Al Zulfi

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Zulfi.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Al Taee ↓ -0.25 (-8.5%)
Al Zulfi ↑ +0.19 (+8.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.