Pieta Hotspurs vs Naxxar Lions

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Pieta Hotspurs

Naxxar Lions

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.5% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 45.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.8% 3.10 DRAW 23.8% 3.88 AWAY 46.4% 1.99

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Naxxar Lions

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pieta Hotspurs Naxxar Lions

Shots 2.3 · On target 0.0 Shots 5.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Naxxar Lions, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pieta Hotspurs Naxxar Lions

Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Pieta Hotspurs has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pieta Hotspurs Naxxar Lions

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Pieta Hotspurs ↓ -0.14 (-4.3%)

Naxxar Lions ↑ +0.07 (+3.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.