Al Raed vs Al Jeel

09 Sep 2026 · 17:50

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Al Raed

Al Jeel

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.5% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 19.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.7% 1.66 DRAW 24.3% 3.88 AWAY 19.1% 4.94

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Jeel

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Raed Al Jeel

Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Raed Al Jeel

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Raed Al Jeel

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Al Raed ↑ +0.28 (+20.3%)

Al Jeel ↓ -1.57 (-24.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.