GD Portel vs SC Mineiro Aljustrelense

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

GD Portel

SC Mineiro Aljustrelense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.9% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 28.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.4% 2.25 DRAW 29.1% 3.20 AWAY 29.4% 3.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: GD Portel

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

GD Portel SC Mineiro Aljustrelense

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 4.8 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours GD Portel, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

GD Portel SC Mineiro Aljustrelense

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 1.5

SC Mineiro Aljustrelense has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

GD Portel SC Mineiro Aljustrelense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

GD Portel ↓ -0.27 (-10.7%)

SC Mineiro Aljustrelense ↑ +0.62 (+24.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.