Braganca vs AD Ponte da Barca

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.0 pp

Braganca

AD Ponte da Barca

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.5% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 11.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.4% 1.44 DRAW 23.9% 3.90 AWAY 11.7% 7.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Braganca

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Braganca AD Ponte da Barca

Shots 8.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Braganca AD Ponte da Barca

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Braganca has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Braganca AD Ponte da Barca

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Braganca = (0.0%)

AD Ponte da Barca ↑ +1.70 (+27.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.