Alcochetense vs Imortal DC

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Alcochetense

Imortal DC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.0% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 16.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.0% 1.70 DRAW 27.7% 3.38 AWAY 17.3% 5.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Alcochetense

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alcochetense Imortal DC

Shots 12.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Alcochetense, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alcochetense Imortal DC

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 1.5

Imortal DC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alcochetense Imortal DC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Alcochetense ↓ -0.52 (-23.4%)

Imortal DC ↑ +2.36 (+77.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.