Portugal Campeonato Nacional · PT

UD da Serra vs Fatima

08 Nov 2026 · 16:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for Fatima. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.38 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.49. At this price, an away win for Fatima does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME

UD da Serra

STOCHASTICBET 30.8%

PINNACLE 32.7% odd 2.77

DIFFERENCE -1.9 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 29.0%

PINNACLE 29.2% odd 3.10

DIFFERENCE -0.2 pp

AWAY MODEL > MARKET

Fatima

STOCHASTICBET 40.2%

PINNACLE 38.1% odd 2.38

DIFFERENCE +2.1 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 15:41

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Fatima has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

UD da Serra Fatima

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 11.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Fatima, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UD da Serra Fatima

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Fatima has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UD da Serra Fatima

The combined recent performance profile favours Fatima.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.