Fatima vs Oliveira Hospital

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Fatima

Oliveira Hospital

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.0% DRAW 29.6% AWAY 38.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.1% 3.00 DRAW 29.4% 3.17 AWAY 39.5% 2.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Fatima

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fatima Oliveira Hospital

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 13.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fatima Oliveira Hospital

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Fatima has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fatima Oliveira Hospital

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Fatima ↑ +0.06 (+2.0%)

Oliveira Hospital ↑ +0.02 (+0.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.