FC Alpendorada vs AD Machico

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

FC Alpendorada

AD Machico

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.6% DRAW 32.0% AWAY 32.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.8% 2.69 DRAW 31.6% 3.05 AWAY 32.6% 2.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Alpendorada AD Machico

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Alpendorada AD Machico

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Alpendorada AD Machico

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC Alpendorada ↑ +0.48 (+21.7%)

AD Machico ↓ -0.18 (-5.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.