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Portugal Campeonato Nacional · PT

Futebol Clube de Vinhais vs CD Celoricense

08 Nov 2026 · 16:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for CD Celoricense. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.46 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.56. At this price, an away win for CD Celoricense does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Futebol Clube de Vinhais
STOCHASTICBET 13.0%
PINNACLE 14.3% odd 6.31
DIFFERENCE -1.3 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 22.7%
PINNACLE 23.6% odd 3.83
DIFFERENCE -0.9 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
CD Celoricense
STOCHASTICBET 64.3%
PINNACLE 62.0% odd 1.46
DIFFERENCE +2.2 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 14:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Defensive Edge: CD Celoricense

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Futebol Clube de Vinhais CD Celoricense
Shots 8.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Futebol Clube de Vinhais CD Celoricense
Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 8.3 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.5

CD Celoricense has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Futebol Clube de Vinhais CD Celoricense

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Celoricense.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.