Portugal Campeonato Nacional · PT

Vila Mea vs Maia Lidador

08 Nov 2026 · 16:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Vila Mea. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.84 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.95. At this price, a home win for Vila Mea does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME MODEL > MARKET

Vila Mea

STOCHASTICBET 51.4%

PINNACLE 49.1% odd 1.84

DIFFERENCE +2.3 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 27.3%

PINNACLE 27.8% odd 3.25

DIFFERENCE -0.5 pp

AWAY

Maia Lidador

STOCHASTICBET 21.3%

PINNACLE 23.1% odd 3.92

DIFFERENCE -1.8 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 15:41

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Vila Mea has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vila Mea Maia Lidador

Shots 11.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Vila Mea, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vila Mea Maia Lidador

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vila Mea Maia Lidador

The combined recent performance profile favours Vila Mea.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.