Chaves B vs CD Celoricense

13 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Chaves B

CD Celoricense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.9% DRAW 30.9% AWAY 34.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.8% 2.64 DRAW 30.6% 3.00 AWAY 34.6% 2.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chaves B

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chaves B CD Celoricense

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Chaves B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chaves B CD Celoricense

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3

CD Celoricense has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chaves B CD Celoricense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chaves B ↑ +0.08 (+3.1%)

CD Celoricense ↑ +0.09 (+3.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.