Vila Mea vs Futebol Clube de Vinhais

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Vila Mea

Futebol Clube de Vinhais

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.5% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 11.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.8% 1.56 DRAW 25.3% 3.81 AWAY 13.0% 7.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Vila Mea

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vila Mea Futebol Clube de Vinhais

Shots 11.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 3.8 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Vila Mea, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vila Mea Futebol Clube de Vinhais

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vila Mea Futebol Clube de Vinhais

The combined recent performance profile favours Vila Mea.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Vila Mea ↓ -0.05 (-3.1%)

Futebol Clube de Vinhais ↑ +2.42 (+48.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.