Estrela da Calheta FC vs AD Ovarense

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

Estrela da Calheta FC

AD Ovarense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.4% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 58.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.5% 6.09 DRAW 26.0% 3.64 AWAY 58.5% 1.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AD Ovarense

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Estrela da Calheta FC AD Ovarense

Shots 1.5 · On target 0.5 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours AD Ovarense, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Estrela da Calheta FC AD Ovarense

Shots allowed 1.0 · On target allowed 0.0 Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 0.5

Estrela da Calheta FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Estrela da Calheta FC AD Ovarense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Estrela da Calheta FC ↑ +1.46 (+31.5%)

AD Ovarense ↓ -0.07 (-3.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.