Al Shamal SC Reserves vs Al Bidda SC

08 Sep 2026 · 18:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.3 pp

Al Shamal SC Reserves

Al Bidda SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.4% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 56.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.7% 4.33 DRAW 24.7% 3.80 AWAY 53.6% 1.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al Bidda SC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 56.9% win probability, compared with 53.6% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Bidda SC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Shamal SC Reserves Al Bidda SC

Shots 2.0 · On target 0.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Al Bidda SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Shamal SC Reserves Al Bidda SC

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Al Shamal SC Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Shamal SC Reserves Al Bidda SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Bidda SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Al Shamal SC Reserves ↑ +2.43 (+127.9%)

Al Bidda SC ↓ -1.55 (-47.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.