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Egypt Division 2 · EG

Dayrout vs El Seka El Hadid

22 Oct 2026 · 14:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for an away win for El Seka El Hadid. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have often remained competitive without securing many victories. Finding the net has been a recurring difficulty. They have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Their shooting balance has been moderately positive.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.99 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.04. At this price, an away win for El Seka El Hadid does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Dayrout
STOCHASTICBET 19.9%
PINNACLE 23.0% odd 3.89
DIFFERENCE -3.1 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 31.1%
PINNACLE 32.1% odd 2.78
DIFFERENCE -1.1 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
El Seka El Hadid
STOCHASTICBET 49.1%
PINNACLE 44.9% odd 1.99
DIFFERENCE +4.2 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 21 Oct 2026 · 20:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

El Seka El Hadid has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Dayrout El Seka El Hadid
Shots 7.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours El Seka El Hadid, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Dayrout El Seka El Hadid
Shots allowed 19.0 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.8

El Seka El Hadid has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Dayrout El Seka El Hadid

The combined recent performance profile favours El Seka El Hadid.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-21 22:13:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.10 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW -0.50 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY +0.40 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Egypt Division 2 · 121 matches with scores · 107 with shots · coverage 88.4%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Dayrout6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
DWDDLL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
El Seka El Hadid6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
DDWLWW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
DayroutHome team
−3.56.0 actual
El Seka El HadidAway team
+1.211.2 actual
Dayrout: 6.0 · league average 9.5 · 6 valid matchesEl Seka El Hadid: 11.2 · league average 10.0 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
DayroutHome team
+6.016.0 actual
El Seka El HadidAway team
−0.39.2 actual
Dayrout: 16.0 · league average 10.0 · 6 valid matchesEl Seka El Hadid: 9.2 · league average 9.5 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
DayroutHome team
−2.11.7 actual
El Seka El HadidAway team
+2.06.0 actual
Dayrout: 1.7 · league average 3.7 · 6 valid matchesEl Seka El Hadid: 6.0 · league average 4.0 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
DayroutHome team
+2.06.0 actual
El Seka El HadidAway team
+1.85.5 actual
Dayrout: 6.0 · league average 4.0 · 6 valid matchesEl Seka El Hadid: 5.5 · league average 3.7 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
DayroutHome team
−0.560.50 actual
El Seka El HadidAway team
+0.301.50 actual
Dayrout: 0.50 · league average 1.06 · 6 valid matchesEl Seka El Hadid: 1.50 · league average 1.20 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
DayroutHome team
−3.0 pp8.3% actual
El Seka El HadidAway team
+1.5 pp13.4% actual
Dayrout: 8.3% · league average 11.3% · 6 valid matchesEl Seka El Hadid: 13.4% · league average 11.9% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
DayroutHome team
−4.6 pp7.3% actual
El Seka El HadidAway team
+3.2 pp14.6% actual
Dayrout: 7.3% · league average 11.9% · 6 valid matchesEl Seka El Hadid: 14.6% · league average 11.3% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Dayrout · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
15/10/2026Away0–09 / 294 / 10
08/10/2026Away1–05 / 82 / 3
02/10/2026Home2–210 / 152 / 3
25/09/2026Away0–05 / 241 / 12
18/09/2026Home0–33 / 71 / 4
10/09/2026Away0–24 / 130 / 4
El Seka El Hadid · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
16/10/2026Home0–013 / 62 / 2
08/10/2026Away1–111 / 125 / 3
01/10/2026Home5–416 / 1213 / 10
24/09/2026Away1–311 / 95 / 8
21/09/2026Home1–09 / 57 / 4
18/09/2026Home1–07 / 114 / 6

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.