Dayrout vs El Entag El Harby

17 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.4 pp

Dayrout

El Entag El Harby

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.5% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 50.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.5% 3.90 DRAW 29.6% 3.10 AWAY 46.9% 1.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for El Entag El Harby relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 50.4% win probability, compared with 46.9% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

El Entag El Harby has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dayrout El Entag El Harby

Shots 6.3 · On target 0.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours El Entag El Harby, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dayrout El Entag El Harby

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.3

El Entag El Harby has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dayrout El Entag El Harby

The combined recent performance profile favours El Entag El Harby.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Dayrout ↓ -0.62 (-13.7%)

El Entag El Harby ↓ -0.05 (-2.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.