Al Nasr Cairo vs Dayrout

10 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.7 pp

Al Nasr Cairo

Dayrout

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.7% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 11.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.0% 1.62 DRAW 24.6% 4.01 AWAY 14.3% 6.89

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Al Nasr Cairo clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 65.7% win probability, compared with 61.0% implied by the market. The 4.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al Nasr Cairo has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Nasr Cairo Dayrout

Shots 8.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 6.8 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Al Nasr Cairo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Nasr Cairo Dayrout

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Al Nasr Cairo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Nasr Cairo Dayrout

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Nasr Cairo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Nasr Cairo ↑ +0.09 (+5.9%)

Dayrout ↑ +0.59 (+9.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.