Tanta vs Al Nasr Cairo

17 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Tanta

Al Nasr Cairo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.0% DRAW 32.6% AWAY 33.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.0% 2.60 DRAW 32.0% 3.00 AWAY 31.0% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Al Nasr Cairo has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tanta Al Nasr Cairo

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Al Nasr Cairo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tanta Al Nasr Cairo

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Al Nasr Cairo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tanta Al Nasr Cairo

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Nasr Cairo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tanta ↓ -0.05 (-1.9%)

Al Nasr Cairo ↑ +0.10 (+3.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.