← Match Center
Egypt Division 2 · EG

WE SC vs Baladiyet El Mahallah

22 Oct 2026 · 14:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for WE SC. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have enjoyed a strong sequence of recent results. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. They have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced, although a greater share of attempts has reached the target in the more recent matches.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.20 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.18. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for a home win for WE SC, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
WE SC
STOCHASTICBET 45.9%
PINNACLE 41.6% odd 2.20
DIFFERENCE +4.3 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 33.3%
PINNACLE 34.2% odd 2.68
DIFFERENCE -0.9 pp
AWAY
Baladiyet El Mahallah
STOCHASTICBET 20.8%
PINNACLE 24.2% odd 3.78
DIFFERENCE -3.4 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 21 Oct 2026 · 17:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

WE SC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
WE SC Baladiyet El Mahallah
Shots 13.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 7.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours WE SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
WE SC Baladiyet El Mahallah
Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.5

WE SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
WE SC Baladiyet El Mahallah

The combined recent performance profile favours WE SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-21 22:13:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.33 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW -0.43 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY +0.10 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Egypt Division 2 · 121 matches with scores · 107 with shots · coverage 88.4%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

WE SC6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WLWWLW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Baladiyet El Mahallah6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WLWDLL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
WE SCHome team
+3.112.8 actual
Baladiyet El MahallahAway team
−1.28.5 actual
WE SC: 12.8 · league average 9.7 · 6 valid matchesBaladiyet El Mahallah: 8.5 · league average 9.7 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
WE SCHome team
−1.78.0 actual
Baladiyet El MahallahAway team
+1.811.5 actual
WE SC: 8.0 · league average 9.7 · 6 valid matchesBaladiyet El Mahallah: 11.5 · league average 9.7 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
WE SCHome team
+1.25.0 actual
Baladiyet El MahallahAway team
−1.52.3 actual
WE SC: 5.0 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matchesBaladiyet El Mahallah: 2.3 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
WE SCHome team
−1.02.8 actual
Baladiyet El MahallahAway team
+0.74.5 actual
WE SC: 2.8 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matchesBaladiyet El Mahallah: 4.5 · league average 3.9 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
WE SCHome team
+0.541.67 actual
Baladiyet El MahallahAway team
+0.041.17 actual
WE SC: 1.67 · league average 1.13 · 6 valid matchesBaladiyet El Mahallah: 1.17 · league average 1.13 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
WE SCHome team
+1.4 pp13.0% actual
Baladiyet El MahallahAway team
+2.1 pp13.7% actual
WE SC: 13.0% · league average 11.6% · 6 valid matchesBaladiyet El Mahallah: 13.7% · league average 11.6% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
WE SCHome team
−3.3 pp8.3% actual
Baladiyet El MahallahAway team
−1.5 pp10.1% actual
WE SC: 8.3% · league average 11.6% · 6 valid matchesBaladiyet El Mahallah: 10.1% · league average 11.6% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

WE SC · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
15/10/2026Away3–112 / 76 / 3
09/10/2026Home0–111 / 104 / 5
02/10/2026Away3–011 / 115 / 1
25/09/2026Home1–018 / 45 / 1
18/09/2026Away0–111 / 76 / 4
11/09/2026Home3–114 / 94 / 3
Baladiyet El Mahallah · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
16/10/2026Home2–110 / 144 / 6
09/10/2026Away0–18 / 151 / 6
02/10/2026Home3–110 / 155 / 4
25/09/2026Away1–12 / 151 / 6
18/09/2026Home0–114 / 41 / 1
10/09/2026Away1–27 / 62 / 4

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.