FC Masar vs El Seka El Hadid

10 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

FC Masar

El Seka El Hadid

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.5% DRAW 28.2% AWAY 14.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.0% 1.76 DRAW 29.1% 3.27 AWAY 16.9% 5.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Masar relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.5% win probability, compared with 54.0% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Masar has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Masar El Seka El Hadid

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 6.0 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Masar, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Masar El Seka El Hadid

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.0

FC Masar has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Masar El Seka El Hadid

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Masar.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FC Masar ↓ -0.01 (-0.7%)

El Seka El Hadid ↑ +0.87 (+18.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.