El Daklyeh vs Tersana SC

17 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

El Daklyeh

Tersana SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.7% DRAW 36.2% AWAY 32.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.0% 3.05 DRAW 35.1% 2.70 AWAY 33.9% 2.79

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: El Daklyeh

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

El Daklyeh Tersana SC

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

El Daklyeh Tersana SC

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.3

El Daklyeh has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

El Daklyeh Tersana SC

The combined recent performance profile favours El Daklyeh.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

El Daklyeh ↓ -0.47 (-14.3%)

Tersana SC ↑ +0.10 (+3.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.