SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen vs SV Ried

04 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen

SV Ried

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 9.5% DRAW 14.0% AWAY 76.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 7.8% 12.20 DRAW 13.7% 7.00 AWAY 78.5% 1.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: SV Ried

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen SV Ried

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 14.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours SV Ried, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen SV Ried

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.0

SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen SV Ried

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen ↑ +2.05 (+24.6%)

SV Ried ↑ +0.01 (+0.8%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.