St Polten vs FC Salzburg

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

St Polten

FC Salzburg

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 6.3% DRAW 13.0% AWAY 80.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 6.9% 14.29 DRAW 14.1% 7.00 AWAY 79.0% 1.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FC Salzburg has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

St Polten FC Salzburg

Shots 11.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 16.8 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Salzburg, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

St Polten FC Salzburg

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.5

FC Salzburg has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

St Polten FC Salzburg

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Salzburg.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

St Polten ↑ +5.59 (+64.3%)

FC Salzburg ↑ +0.01 (+0.8%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.