SV Kapfenberg vs Hertha Wels

04 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

SV Kapfenberg

Hertha Wels

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.7% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 41.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.1% 2.88 DRAW 26.3% 3.62 AWAY 40.5% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hertha Wels

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SV Kapfenberg Hertha Wels

Shots 8.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 15.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Hertha Wels, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SV Kapfenberg Hertha Wels

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 7.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SV Kapfenberg Hertha Wels

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

SV Kapfenberg ↑ +0.54 (+22.9%)

Hertha Wels ↓ -0.54 (-18.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.