Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain vs Al Urooba

11 Sep 2026 · 16:55

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain

Al Urooba

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.6% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 36.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.2% 3.00 DRAW 29.2% 3.30 AWAY 38.6% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain Al Urooba

Shots 11.3 · On target 6.8 Shots 13.3 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain Al Urooba

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain Al Urooba

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain ↑ +0.12 (+4.2%)

Al Urooba ↑ +0.29 (+13.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.