Al Dhaid vs Dibba Al Fujairah

11 Sep 2026 · 16:55

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Al Dhaid

Dibba Al Fujairah

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.9% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 42.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.4% 3.30 DRAW 26.1% 3.60 AWAY 45.5% 2.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al Dhaid relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 31.9% win probability, compared with 28.4% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Dibba Al Fujairah

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Dhaid Dibba Al Fujairah

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 14.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Dhaid Dibba Al Fujairah

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 8.8

Al Dhaid has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Dhaid Dibba Al Fujairah

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Dhaid ↑ +0.20 (+6.5%)

Dibba Al Fujairah ↑ +0.15 (+7.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.