Pro Vercelli vs US Folgore Caratese

07 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Pro Vercelli

US Folgore Caratese

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.0% DRAW 30.2% AWAY 26.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.6% 2.13 DRAW 29.9% 3.10 AWAY 26.5% 3.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Pro Vercelli

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pro Vercelli US Folgore Caratese

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 10.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pro Vercelli US Folgore Caratese

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5

US Folgore Caratese has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pro Vercelli US Folgore Caratese

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Pro Vercelli ↑ +0.02 (+1.0%)

US Folgore Caratese ↑ +0.10 (+2.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.