Alhama CF (W) vs Fundacion Albacete (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Alhama CF (W)

Fundacion Albacete (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.3% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 20.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.2% 1.62 DRAW 25.0% 3.64 AWAY 18.7% 4.87

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Fundacion Albacete (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alhama CF (W) Fundacion Albacete (W)

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alhama CF (W) Fundacion Albacete (W)

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Fundacion Albacete (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alhama CF (W) Fundacion Albacete (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Fundacion Albacete (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Alhama CF (W) ↓ -0.18 (-9.9%)

Fundacion Albacete (W) ↑ +1.07 (+28.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.