Barcelona II (W) vs UD Tacuense (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Barcelona II (W)

UD Tacuense (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 79.7% DRAW 13.3% AWAY 7.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 81.1% 1.19 DRAW 13.0% 7.40 AWAY 5.8% 16.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

UD Tacuense (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Barcelona II (W) UD Tacuense (W)

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 13.5 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Barcelona II (W) UD Tacuense (W)

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.0

UD Tacuense (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Barcelona II (W) UD Tacuense (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours UD Tacuense (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Barcelona II (W) ↑ +0.02 (+2.1%)

UD Tacuense (W) ↑ +5.50 (+50.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.