Alhama CF (W) vs Levante UD (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

Alhama CF (W)

Levante UD (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 29.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% 2.03 DRAW 28.2% 3.24 AWAY 26.9% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Levante UD (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 29.8% win probability, compared with 26.9% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Levante UD (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alhama CF (W) Levante UD (W)

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Levante UD (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alhama CF (W) Levante UD (W)

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Levante UD (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alhama CF (W) Levante UD (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Levante UD (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Alhama CF (W) ↑ +0.03 (+1.5%)

Levante UD (W) ↑ +0.10 (+3.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.