Alcione Milano vs Treviso

07 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Alcione Milano

Treviso

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.8% DRAW 34.2% AWAY 28.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.5% 2.59 DRAW 33.5% 2.90 AWAY 29.1% 3.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alcione Milano Treviso

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Alcione Milano, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alcione Milano Treviso

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alcione Milano Treviso

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Alcione Milano ↑ +0.25 (+10.7%)

Treviso ↑ +0.38 (+13.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.