Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man FC

06 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Hong Kong FC

Lee Man FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 6.0% DRAW 10.1% AWAY 83.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 5.6% 17.00 DRAW 10.6% 9.06 AWAY 83.8% 1.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hong Kong FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hong Kong FC Lee Man FC

Shots 12.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hong Kong FC Lee Man FC

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Lee Man FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hong Kong FC Lee Man FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Hong Kong FC ↑ +8.00 (+88.9%)

Lee Man FC ↓ -0.02 (-2.1%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.