Shatin vs North District

06 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Shatin

North District

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.0% DRAW 15.9% AWAY 69.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.8% 6.03 DRAW 17.3% 5.50 AWAY 66.9% 1.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: North District

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shatin North District

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 19.5 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours North District, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shatin North District

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shatin North District

The combined recent performance profile favours North District.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Shatin ↓ -0.48 (-7.4%)

North District ↓ -0.05 (-3.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.