Shatin vs Kowloon City

13 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Shatin

Kowloon City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.2% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 39.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.0% 2.75 DRAW 26.0% 3.70 AWAY 39.0% 2.47

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Kowloon City

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shatin Kowloon City

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Shatin, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shatin Kowloon City

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Kowloon City has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shatin Kowloon City

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Shatin ↓ -0.02 (-0.7%)

Kowloon City ↑ +0.24 (+10.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.