Lee Man FC vs Eastern District

11 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Lee Man FC

Eastern District

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 76.6% DRAW 15.0% AWAY 8.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 73.2% 1.27 DRAW 16.9% 5.50 AWAY 9.9% 9.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Lee Man FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 76.6% win probability, compared with 73.2% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Lee Man FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lee Man FC Eastern District

Shots 13.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Lee Man FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lee Man FC Eastern District

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Lee Man FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lee Man FC Eastern District

The combined recent performance profile favours Lee Man FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Lee Man FC ↓ -0.10 (-7.6%)

Eastern District ↑ +2.93 (+45.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.