Trento vs Pro Vercelli

21 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Trento

Pro Vercelli

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.3% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 18.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.3% 1.68 DRAW 25.4% 3.66 AWAY 19.3% 4.82

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Trento has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Trento Pro Vercelli

Shots 14.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Trento, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Trento Pro Vercelli

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Trento Pro Vercelli

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Trento ↓ -0.14 (-7.5%)

Pro Vercelli ↑ +1.12 (+30.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.